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TTRP21-02 Projecting Long Run Productivity Growth Rates for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

This paper evaluates the appropriateness of the current long run labour productivity growth assumption ahead of the next NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR), to be released in 2021. It examines methodologies used by other leading Treasuries and financial institutions for projecting productivity growth, and reviews trends and factors that may influence the future growth path. The proposed methodology and projections contained in this paper are preliminary and will be finalised for the 2021 IGR.

Category: Research & Information Topic: Financial Management, Intergenerational Report (IGR) Date: 20 January 2021 Status: Current

TTRP21-03 Ageing and health expenses in New South Wales – revisiting the long-term modelling approach

The 2016 NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR) projected health expenses to be the largest driver of long-run expense growth for NSW. It projected health expenses to grow from 28 per cent of total expenses by 2056 to 36 per cent - at a long-term annual growth rate of 6.0 per cent - in the absence of policy intervention.

This reflects the pressures of an ageing population, and non-demographic factors such as advancements in health technology and expectations for more and improved health services over the next 40 years.

Category: Research & Information Topic: Financial Management, Intergenerational Report (IGR) Date: 20 January 2021 Status: Current

TTRP21-01 Preliminary Fertility Rate Projections for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

This paper sets out reasons why the NSW long-run fertility rate is projected to decline from its 2019-20 level of 1.67 babies per woman to 1.63 by 2032. The paper recommends that the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR) utilise a constant long-run TFR assumption of 1.63 from 2032

Category: Research & Information Topic: Financial Management, Intergenerational Report (IGR) Date: 19 January 2021 Status: Current

Aboriginal Procurement Strategy

Category: General Topic: Reporting Date: 07 December 2020 Status: Current

NSW Treasury Reconciliation Action Plan

Reconciliation Action Plan (RAP) July 2020 - July 2021

Category: General Topic: Reporting Date: 01 December 2020

Last updated: 28/02/2022