Ahead of the release of the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR), NSW Treasury has been assessing the structural challenges and opportunities facing New South Wales, including updating the underlying assumptions and methodologies required to project the fiscal gap. We are sharing our analysis by publishing a series of Treasury Technical Research Papers (TTRP) ahead of the release of the 2021 IGR. The analysis will inform policy advice to address current and structural challenges that impact the State’s future economic growth and fiscal sustainability.

The 2021 IGR, together with the NSW Economic Blueprint and the NSW Productivity Commission’s Green Paper, will provide a detailed roadmap for reforms to enhance the resilience, flexibility and productive potential of the NSW economy, and help inform the Government’s reform priorities and policy development to respond to the challenges of today and tomorrow.

The projections in the TTRP are preliminary and will be finalised for the 2021 IGR, which will quantify and discuss the challenges facing the State’s economy and fiscal position.  

You can explore the TTRP series below.

The Sensitivity of the NSW Economic and Fiscal Outlook to Global Coal Demand and the Broader Energy Transition for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

Secular Stagnation, the Long-Term Real Bond Rate Outlook and Policy Issues for NSW and Australia

An Indicative Assessment of Four Key Areas of Climate Risk for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

Sensitivity Analysis on Sydney's Urban Structure and House Prices for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

Ageing and Health Expenses in New South Wales - Revisiting the Long-term Modelling Approach

Projecting Long Run Productivity Growth Rates for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

Preliminary Fertility Rate Projections for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

Preliminary Participation Rate Projections for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

Last updated: 02/08/2021